| Created: 03/18/02 |
M. Pecht, P. Sandborn, R. Solomon, D. Das, and C. Wilkinson (CALCE EPSC, University of Maryland).
Electronic parts obsolescence is a serious problem causing many millions of dollars to be expended annually on recovery actions and seriously compromising the long-term sustainability of systems. While technological advances continue to fuel product development, engineering decisions about how and when to use a new part or technology and the trade-offs of associated risks and benefits differentiate the winning from the losing products.
This book presents a methodology to forecast the years to obsolescence and the life cycle stages of electronic parts using part sales and technology trend data. The book also presents the underlying reasons for part obsolescence and a wide variety of tactics and strategies that can be deployed by the part user to mitigate the effects. This enables engineers to better manage the part selection and management process for their systems and reduce costs.
The predictions derived from the models allow engineers to effectively manage the introduction and on-going use of electronic products based on the projected life cycle of the parts incorporated. Examples of the application of the methodology to various part types is discussed and obsolescence predictions are demonstrated using commercially available sales data. The use of this methodology can significantly reduce design iterations, inventory expenses, sustainment costs and overall life cycle costs. This book will also be of interest to marketing and business development managers, contract negotiators, proposal writers and logistics support personnel.
Contents
ISBN 0-9707174-1-5
CALCE EPSC Press
University of Maryland
College Park, MD 20742
Order information:
Please contact Prof. Michael Pecht (pecht@calce.umd.edu) for information.
